A new “early warning” signal suggests the Atlantic’s heat conveyor may be less stable than we assumed.

The Gulf Stream is part of a bigger Atlantic conveyor belt that moves heat north and helps shape storms, sea level, and winter temperatures on both sides of the ocean.
Scientists call the larger system the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation, or AMOC. Observations and models suggest it is likely weakening as the North Atlantic becomes warmer and fresher.
New studies are hunting for early warning signals that a tipping point could exist. Researchers also stress timing is uncertain: a slowdown is expected this century, but an abrupt collapse before 2100 is considered very unlikely, not impossible.








