13 Cities Most Likely to Sink Underwater by 2100—Is Yours on the List?

If you live near water, you may not have as much time as you think.

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Sea levels aren’t just rising—they’re accelerating. Glaciers are melting faster, coastlines are crumbling, and high tides are starting to reach places they were never meant to go. For many low-lying cities, this isn’t some distant climate scenario. It’s already happening. Flood maps are being redrawn, and entire neighborhoods are bracing for the water to come—and stay.

What’s at stake isn’t just beachfront property. We’re talking about global power centers, cultural capitals, and densely packed urban zones that could be partially or completely submerged within decades. In some cases, the sinking is coming from below too—thanks to land subsidence, overdevelopment, and vanishing groundwater. These cities aren’t just threatened. They’re actively slipping beneath our feet. The future is wet, and for millions of people around the world, the countdown has already begun.

1. Jakarta is going under whether the world pays attention or not.

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Indonesia’s capital isn’t waiting for sea level rise—it’s already battling it. Jakarta is subsiding by as much as 10 inches per year in some neighborhoods. That’s due in part to rampant groundwater pumping, which is causing the ground itself to sink. Add rising seas, heavy rainfall, and crumbling infrastructure, and you’ve got a city in crisis.

Nearly half of Jakarta sits below sea level, and flooding is a daily threat. According to Space4Water, nearly 40% of Jakarta is now below sea level, making the city highly vulnerable to flooding. The government has already announced plans to move the capital to a new city on Borneo—but over ten million people still live in Jakarta. The question isn’t whether parts of it will be underwater. It’s how soon, and how many people will be able to get out in time.

2. New Orleans is running out of land faster than it can rebuild.

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Built on swampy ground and shielded by levees, New Orleans has always had a complicated relationship with water. As NASA’s Earth Observatory reports, the city is sinking due to natural subsidence, compounded by rising seas and disappearing coastal wetlands, with subsidence rates of up to 8 millimeters per year prior to Hurricane Katrina.

Louisiana loses roughly a football field of land every 100 minutes. As sea levels climb, the protective buffer between the Gulf and the city shrinks. Saltwater intrusion, more frequent storm surges, and aging infrastructure leave New Orleans vulnerable to another catastrophic flood. Resilience is part of the city’s soul—but even soul has its limits.

3. Bangkok is slowly sinking while the city keeps building upward.

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Thailand’s capital is home to more than 10 million people, built on soft, flood-prone ground that’s slowly giving way. Per N. Phien-wej for ScienceDirect, the city is experiencing land subsidence due to excessive groundwater extraction, with the ground sinking by as much as 0.10 cubic meters for every cubic meter of groundwater pumped.

Heavy rainfall and king tides now regularly overwhelm drainage systems, turning streets into canals. The government has floated ideas like sea walls and artificial islands, but long-term solutions are elusive. Bangkok is an economic and cultural hub, but it’s also racing against time. The sea doesn’t care about GDP.

4. Venice is flooding so frequently it barely surprises anyone anymore.

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High tides and flooding aren’t new to Venice—but they’ve become constant. The city experiences dozens of flood events every year, with acqua alta (high water) pushing into homes, businesses, and landmarks. The MOSE flood barrier project offers some protection, but sea level rise keeps pressing in.

Venice is built on wood pilings and already sits just above the surface. As the Adriatic Sea rises, the city’s foundations are being tested more than ever. Climate change is threatening to turn a UNESCO World Heritage site into a waterlogged relic. Tourists may still come for the gondolas, but the city is slowly sinking beneath its own reflection.

5. Amsterdam is holding back the sea with engineering and hope.

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Much of Amsterdam sits below sea level, protected only by an intricate network of dikes, dams, and pumping stations. The Netherlands has long been a masterclass in water management, but rising seas are testing that legacy. The North Sea is creeping higher, storm surges are growing stronger, and rainfall is increasing in both volume and intensity.

The Dutch government is investing heavily in “living with water” solutions—floating homes, absorbent parks, and nature-based flood controls—but nothing lasts forever. As climate models grow more extreme, so does the pressure on Amsterdam’s aging infrastructure. The city may be brilliant at managing water, but in the long run, engineering alone won’t keep it dry.

6. Ho Chi Minh City is sinking while the rivers rise around it.

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Built on low-lying marshland and threaded with rivers, Ho Chi Minh City is extremely vulnerable to both sea level rise and land subsidence. Rapid urbanization, heavy groundwater extraction, and a growing population have created a perfect storm of sinking ground and rising water. Flooding is already routine, and high tides regularly push water into streets and homes.

Projections suggest that large portions of the city could be underwater by the end of the century—even sooner without intervention. Drainage systems are overwhelmed, and protective barriers aren’t keeping pace. Vietnam is one of the countries most at risk from climate change, and its economic engine is sitting in the flood zone.

7. Alexandria is slowly sliding into the sea as history watches in silence.

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This coastal Egyptian city has stood for millennia, a cradle of ancient knowledge and Mediterranean culture. Now, rising seas and eroding shorelines are threatening its foundations. Saltwater is seeping into groundwater reserves. Coastal defenses are weakening. And iconic sites, including Roman ruins and historic harbors, are inching closer to collapse.

Population growth and overdevelopment have only made things worse. Wetlands that once protected the city have been drained, and new construction has pushed deeper into vulnerable zones. Alexandria isn’t just losing land—it’s losing legacy. If current trends continue, entire neighborhoods and heritage sites could be underwater by 2100.

8. Miami is already flooding on sunny days and it’s only getting worse.

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Sea level rise in Miami isn’t hypothetical—it’s visible. King tides now send seawater bubbling up through storm drains even when there’s no rain in sight. Streets flood under blue skies. Saltwater corrodes pipes, seeps into drinking water, and eats away at building foundations. Real estate in some low-lying neighborhoods is already losing value.

City officials have launched resilience projects—raising roads, installing pumps, updating building codes—but the water keeps coming. Miami sits on porous limestone, which makes traditional sea walls nearly useless. The city is becoming a case study in how climate change doesn’t arrive all at once—it creeps in, tide by tide, until retreat feels inevitable.

9. Dhaka is drowning in water, people, and climate pressure.

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As one of the fastest-growing megacities on Earth, Dhaka is already grappling with staggering challenges—overcrowding, pollution, poverty—and sea level rise is making everything harder. Built near the Ganges Delta, much of the city sits barely above water. During the monsoon, floodwaters surge through streets, displacing thousands and crippling infrastructure.

Climate change is amplifying seasonal flooding and pushing saltwater inland. Coastal migration is adding even more pressure to an already strained urban system. Dhaka is running out of safe, dry places to put people, and the crisis is growing with every storm. The city’s future hinges on adaptation—but resources are limited, and time is running thin.

10. Lagos is building upward while the ocean pushes back harder.

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Nigeria’s largest city is a symbol of rapid economic growth, tech innovation, and creative energy—but it’s also perched on the edge of disaster. Most of Lagos lies just a few feet above sea level, and the combination of rising tides, coastal erosion, and explosive population growth is pushing the city to its limits.

The construction boom continues, especially in high-end developments like Eko Atlantic, a coastal project built on reclaimed land. Yet scientists warn that without robust, city-wide flood protections, much of Lagos could face regular inundation in the coming decades. If the sea keeps rising and infrastructure doesn’t keep pace, the city’s ambition could be washed away.

11. Shanghai is sinking slowly while the seas rise quickly.

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Shanghai is China’s financial heart, home to over 24 million people—and much of it is built on sediment-rich, sinking land. While the government has cracked down on groundwater extraction, the city continues to face subsidence and tidal flooding, especially in its lower-lying districts near the Yangtze River Delta.

Sea level rise in the East China Sea adds another layer of risk. Shanghai has invested billions in seawalls and pumping systems, but continued growth means more people, more pressure, and more exposure. With climate projections showing significant sea rise by 2100, this global business hub may need even bigger solutions to stay above water.

12. Rotterdam is surviving for now, but its luck may run out.

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Rotterdam is often hailed as a model of climate adaptation. A third of the Netherlands sits below sea level, and this port city has embraced bold engineering—floating neighborhoods, storm surge barriers, and “water plazas” designed to absorb floodwater. It’s proof that smart planning can buy time.

That time, however, is not infinite. As climate models worsen and sea rise accelerates, even the best defenses may struggle. Rotterdam’s survival depends on relentless innovation, international cooperation, and luck. The sea hasn’t claimed it yet—but the margin for error is shrinking.

13. New York City is building barriers while the tides keep rising.

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After Hurricane Sandy, New York got a wake-up call. Billions have been poured into sea walls, levee systems, and climate adaptation projects. Lower Manhattan has plans to be partially elevated. Coastal neighborhoods are being fortified or, in some cases, abandoned altogether. Yet the threat keeps growing.

Sea level around New York Harbor has already risen over a foot since 1900, and it’s projected to rise another two to six feet this century. High tides are flooding subway grates. Storm surges are stronger. As the city keeps building upward, the water below keeps creeping in. Engineering can slow it—but stopping it is another matter.

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